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Start your free trialReal Madrid vs Real Sociedad · last 5
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Generated 26 August 2026. Form and team news change every week.
La Liga - Spain
Aug 26, 2026, 7:00 PM
Venue
Data unavailable
Weather
Overcast, 22°C
Real Madrid
Last 5
Home form
Away form
Real Sociedad
Last 5
Home form
Away form
Real Madrid
- R. Asencio (Missing Fixture: Muscle Injury)
- Eder Militao (Missing Fixture: Hamstring Injury)
- Endrick (Missing Fixture: Muscle Injury)
- F. Mendy (Missing Fixture: Hip Injury)
- T. Pitarch (Missing Fixture: Knee Injury)
- Rodrygo (Missing Fixture: Knee Injury)
- A. Tchouameni (Missing Fixture: Muscle Injury)
Real Sociedad
- J. Gorrotxategi (Missing Fixture: Groin Injury)
- P. Marin (Missing Fixture: Injury)
- A. Odriozola (Missing Fixture: Knee Injury)
Lineups
Data unavailable — Lineups are only announced close to kickoff.
Real Madrid arrive in dominant shape — five unbeaten with a 4-match winning streak — but their defensive unit is significantly depleted. Militão, Asencio, and Mendy all miss out, creating structural vulnerabilities at the back that Imanol Alguacil's side could exploit on the counter. Ancelotti's side will lean on positional control and press-triggering to compensate, likely deploying a makeshift back line that will be tested by Real Sociedad's vertical runners.
Win probability (AI estimate, anchored to market odds)
League standings
Real Madrid
Rank 7 · 3pts · 1 played · GD 1
Real Sociedad
Rank 19 · 0pts · 1 played · GD -1
Market movement
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Draw
- Madrid's market drift toward 76.7% reflects both the depleted Sociedad squad and a 5-game H2H dominance — fade the draw accordingly.
- Seven Madrid absentees including two first-choice centre-backs opens real risk on set-pieces and transitions — both-teams-to-score looks underpriced at 53.6%.
- Sociedad's four-match losing run and away record make AH +1.5 at 45% a marginal play — the data does not justify backing them to keep it close.
- Over 3.5 at 47.1% deserves attention given Madrid's scoring rate of 10 in 5 and their defensive absences inviting Sociedad to contribute offensively.
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